|
|
Diageo/Hotline Poll conducted by FD. June 4-7, 2009. N=800
registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Looking ahead to 2012, if the presidential election were held
today, would you vote to reelect Barack Obama or would you like to see someone
else become president?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Obama |
Someone
Else |
Too Early
(vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/4-7/09 |
46 |
30 |
18 |
5 |
|
|
4/23-26/09 |
45 |
32 |
18 |
4 |
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. May 14-17, 2009. N=448
Republicans nationwide. MoE ± 4.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in
the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please
tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican
nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else.
Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, former
Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich,
former Florida governor Jeb Bush."
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
22 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Sarah Palin |
21 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
13 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Jeb Bush |
6 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Someone else |
10 |
|
|
. |
|
|
No one
(vol.) |
3 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. May 12-13, 2009. N=274 Republican
voters nationwide. MoE ± 6. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2012
Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the
Republican presidential nominee. . . ."
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
20 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
18 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
14 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Sarah Palin |
13 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
12 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mark Sanford |
4 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Jeb Bush |
3 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Bobby Jindal |
3 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
3 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Too soon to say (vol.) |
7 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll. April 19-21, 2009. N=800 likely
voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Now, based on President Obama's performance to date and looking
ahead to the 2012 presidential election: Do you think you will vote to reelect
Barack Obama, consider voting for someone else, or will you vote to replace
Barack Obama?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Reelect
Obama |
Consider
Someone Else |
Replace
Obama |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/19-21/09 |
42 |
22 |
24 |
11 |
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. April 22-23, 2009. N=900 registered
voters nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were held today, would you
definitely vote to reelect Barack Obama, probably vote to reelect Obama,
probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Definitely
Obama |
Probably
Obama |
Probably
Someone Else |
Definitely
Someone Else |
Too Soon
(vol.)/Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
4/22-23/09 |
37 |
15 |
8 |
23 |
16 |
|
|
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. April 8-11, 2009. N=833
registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5 (for all registered voters). |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"And if the election for president were held today, would you
definitely vote to reelect Barack Obama, probably vote to reelect Barack Obama,
probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for
someone else for president?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Definitely
Obama |
Probably
Obama |
Probably
Someone Else |
Definitely
Someone Else |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
ALL |
32 |
18 |
13 |
26 |
11 |
|
Republicans |
5 |
8 |
24 |
53 |
8 |
|
Independents |
24 |
22 |
13 |
24 |
17 |
|
Democrats |
61 |
24 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Feb. 18-19, 2009. N=429
Republicans nationwide. MoE ± 4.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in
the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please
tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support
someone else. Alaska Governor Sarah Palin. Former Arkansas Governor Mike
Huckabee. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. Louisiana Governor Bobby
Jindal." |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
. |
|
|
Sarah Palin |
29 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
26 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Bobby Jindal |
9 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Someone else |
10 |
|
|
. |
|
|
None/No one
(vol.) |
4 |
|
|
. |
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Dec. 1-2, 2008. N=460
Republicans nationwide. MoE ± 4.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"I'm going to read you the names of a few people who might run
for the Republican presidential nomination in 2012. For each one, please tell me
whether you would be very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not
likely at all to support them if they decided to run for the Republican
nomination four years from now. . . ." |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Very
Likely |
Somewhat
Likely |
Not Very
Likely |
Not Likely
At All |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former
Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee |
|
12/1-2/08 |
34 |
31 |
21 |
13 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Alaska
Governor Sarah Palin |
|
12/1-2/08 |
32 |
35 |
21 |
12 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former
Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney |
|
12/1-2/08 |
28 |
33 |
23 |
13 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former
House speaker Newt Gingrich |
|
12/1-2/08 |
27 |
25 |
28 |
19 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Former New
York City mayor Rudy Giuliani |
|
12/1-2/08 |
23 |
34 |
24 |
18 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Louisiana
Governor Bobby Jindal |
|
12/1-2/08 |
19 |
25 |
33 |
16 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Florida
Governor Charlie Crist |
|
12/1-2/08 |
7 |
25 |
40 |
20 |
7 |
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 2008. N=950
registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3 (for all registered voters). |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If Barack Obama is NOT elected president in November, would you
strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose Hillary
Clinton if she ran for president four years from now?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Strongly
Support |
Somewhat
Support |
Somewhat
Oppose |
Strongly
Oppose |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
ALL |
37 |
23 |
13 |
27 |
1 |
|
Democrats |
63 |
27 |
3 |
6 |
1 |
|
Independents |
29 |
29 |
16 |
25 |
2 |
|
Republicans |
12 |
12 |
21 |
55 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If John McCain is NOT elected president in November, would you
strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose Sarah
Palin if she ran for president four years from now?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Strongly
Support |
Somewhat
Support |
Somewhat
Oppose |
Strongly
Oppose |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
ALL |
22 |
18 |
13 |
46 |
1 |
|
Democrats |
3 |
7 |
10 |
78 |
1 |
|
Independents |
20 |
21 |
16 |
42 |
1 |
|
Republicans |
46 |
31 |
13 |
9 |
1 |
|
|
Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
International. Oct. 22-23, 2008. Registered Republicans and Republican
leaners nationwide, from a total sample of 1,092 registered voters. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election: If John
McCain is not elected president in November, would you like to see Sarah Palin
run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2012, or not?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
. |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
. |
|
|
10/22-23/08 |
44 |
38 |
18 |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If John McCain is not elected president, which one of the
following three possible candidates would you be most likely to support for the
Republican presidential nomination in 2012: [see below]?"
Options rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Mitt
Romney |
Mike
Huckabee |
Sarah
Palin |
Someone
Else (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
10/22-23/08 |
35 |
26 |
20 |
10 |
9 |
|
|
