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Daily Kos
Tracking Poll conducted by Research 2000. Three-day rolling average. N=1,100
likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
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Generic Congressional Ballot: |
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. |
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Democrat |
Republican |
Unsure |
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End date |
% |
% |
% |
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11/3/08 |
49 |
40 |
11 |
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11/2/08 |
49 |
39 |
12 |
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11/1/08 |
48 |
39 |
13 |
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10/31/08 |
50 |
39 |
11 |
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10/30/08 |
48 |
39 |
13 |
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10/29/08 |
47 |
38 |
15 |
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10/28/08 |
48 |
38 |
14 |
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10/27/08 |
48 |
36 |
16 |
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10/26/08 |
47 |
36 |
17 |
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10/25/08 |
48 |
34 |
18 |
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10/24/08 |
47 |
34 |
19 |
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10/23/08 |
49 |
35 |
16 |
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10/22/08 |
48 |
35 |
17 |
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10/21/08 |
49 |
34 |
17 |
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10/20/08 |
49 |
35 |
16 |
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10/19/08 |
48 |
35 |
17 |
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10/18/08 |
50 |
35 |
15 |
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10/17/08 |
50 |
36 |
14 |
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10/16/08 |
49 |
36 |
15 |
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10/15/08 |
49 |
35 |
16 |
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10/14/08 |
50 |
35 |
15 |
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10/13/08 |
49 |
35 |
16 |
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10/12/08 |
48 |
35 |
17 |
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10/11/08 |
48 |
34 |
18 |
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10/10/08 |
47 |
33 |
20 |
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10/9/08 |
48 |
33 |
19 |
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10/8/08 |
49 |
34 |
17 |
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10/7/08 |
48 |
34 |
16 |
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10/6/08 |
49 |
34 |
17 |
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10/5/08 |
48 |
34 |
18 |
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10/4/08 |
48 |
35 |
17 |
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10/3/08 |
46 |
36 |
18 |
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10/2/08 |
47 |
37 |
16 |
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10/1/08 |
46 |
37 |
17 |
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9/30/08 |
45 |
37 |
18 |
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9/29/08 |
46 |
37 |
17 |
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9/28/08 |
49 |
37 |
14 |
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9/27/08 |
49 |
38 |
11 |
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9/26/08 |
49 |
39 |
10 |
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9/25/08 |
49 |
40 |
11 |
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9/24/08 |
50 |
41 |
9 |
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9/23/08 |
49 |
43 |
8 |
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9/22/08 |
49 |
42 |
9 |
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9/21/08 |
48 |
42 |
10 |
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9/20/08 |
48 |
41 |
11 |
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9/19/08 |
48 |
40 |
12 |
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9/18/08 |
49 |
40 |
11 |
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9/17/08 |
49 |
39 |
12 |
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9/16/08 |
48 |
39 |
13 |
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9/15/08 |
48 |
40 |
12 |
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9/14/08 |
48 |
41 |
11 |
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9/13/08 |
47 |
41 |
12 |
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9/12/08 |
46 |
40 |
14 |
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9/11/08 |
47 |
41 |
12 |
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9/10/08 |
47 |
40 |
13 |
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NBC News/Wall
Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D)
and Neil Newhouse (R). Nov. 1-2, 2008. N=1,011 likely voters nationwide. MoE ±
3.1.
LV = likely voters. Among registered voters,
except where noted. |
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. |
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"What is your preference for the outcome of this year's
congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress
controlled by Democrats?" |
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. |
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Democrats |
Republicans |
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
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11/1-2/08
LV |
48 |
36 |
16 |
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10/17-20/08 |
49 |
38 |
13 |
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10/4-5/08 |
49 |
36 |
15 |
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9/19-22/08 |
50 |
37 |
13 |
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8/15-18/08 |
47 |
36 |
17 |
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7/18-21/08 |
49 |
36 |
15 |
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6/6-9/08 |
52 |
33 |
15 |
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4/25-28/08 |
49 |
34 |
17 |
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3/7-10/08 |
49 |
35 |
16 |
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12/14-17/07 |
48 |
34 |
18 |
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11/1-5/07 |
46 |
37 |
17 |
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9/7-10/07 |
47 |
35 |
18 |
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Diageo/Hotline
Daily Tracker Poll conducted by FD. Three-day rolling average. N=approx. 900
registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.3. |
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"Now thinking about the next elections for U.S. Congress,
if the elections for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for
the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?"
Options rotated |
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. |
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Democratic |
Republican |
Neither (vol.) |
Unsure |
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End date |
% |
% |
% |
% |
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11/2/08 |
44 |
39 |
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11/1/08 |
45 |
38 |
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10/31/08 |
45 |
38 |
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10/30/08 |
46 |
37 |
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10/29/08 |
46 |
38 |
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10/28/08 |
47 |
37 |
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10/27/08 |
46 |
38 |
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10/26/08 |
47 |
37 |
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10/25/08 |
45 |
37 |
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10/24/08 |
46 |
38 |
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10/23/08 |
44 |
37 |
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10/22/08 |
43 |
39 |
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10/21/08 |
43 |
37 |
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10/20/08 |
43 |
37 |
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10/19/08 |
42 |
37 |
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10/18/08 |
42 |
37 |
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10/17/08 |
42 |
39 |
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10/16/08 |
43 |
37 |
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10/15/08 |
44 |
38 |
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10/14/08 |
45 |
35 |
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10/13/08 |
45 |
35 |
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10/12/08 |
45 |
34 |
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10/11/08 |
45 |
33 |
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10/10/08 |
44 |
31 |
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10/9/08 |
42 |
34 |
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10/8/08 |
43 |
36 |
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10/7/08 |
43 |
38 |
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10/6/08 |
43 |
37 |
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10/5/08 |
43 |
36 |
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10/4/08 |
43 |
36 |
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10/3/08 |
44 |
37 |
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10/2/08 |
44 |
36 |
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10/1/08 |
45 |
36 |
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9/30/08 |
44 |
36 |
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9/29/08 |
43 |
36 |
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9/28/08 |
44 |
36 |
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9/27/08 |
45 |
35 |
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9/26/08 |
46 |
34 |
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9/25/08 |
46 |
34 |
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9/24/08 |
43 |
35 |
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9/23/08 |
45 |
34 |
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9/22/08 |
44 |
35 |
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9/21/08 |
44 |
35 |
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9/20/08 |
43 |
37 |
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9/19/08 |
41 |
36 |
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9/18/08 |
43 |
35 |
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9/17/08 |
43 |
36 |
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9/16/08 |
43 |
36 |
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9/15/08 |
42 |
37 |
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9/14/08 |
42 |
36 |
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9/13/08 |
44 |
35 |
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9/12/08 |
44 |
34 |
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9/11/08 |
44 |
35 |
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9/10/08 |
43 |
35 |
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9/9/08 |
42 |
35 |
8 |
14 |
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9/8/08 |
42 |
34 |
7 |
16 |
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9/7/08 |
42 |
33 |
7 |
18 |
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9/4/08 |
45 |
35 |
6 |
14 |
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USA
Today/Gallup Poll. Oct. 31-Nov. 2, 2008. Voters nationwide. |
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"If the elections for Congress were being held
today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional
district: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's
candidate?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward the
Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?"
Options rotated |
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. |
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Democratic
Candidate |
Republican
Candidate |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
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% |
% |
% |
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. |
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Among likely voters -- expanded
model (current voting intention only):
N=2,458, MoE ± 2 |
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. |
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10/31 -
11/2/08 * |
54 |
41 |
6 |
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10/10-12/08 |
51 |
45 |
5 |
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. |
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Among likely voters -- traditional
model (current voting intention and past voting behavior):
N=2,472, MoE ± 2 |
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. |
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10/31 -
11/2/08 * |
53 |
41 |
6 |
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10/10-12/08 |
51 |
45 |
5 |
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9/5-7/08 |
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