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   Congress 2008             See also:  Ratings of Congress


Polls listed chronologically.
   
SENATE and HOUSE race polls are in our subscriber area. INFO

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Daily Kos Tracking Poll conducted by Research 2000. Three-day rolling average. N=1,100 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

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Generic Congressional Ballot:

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Democrat Republican Unsure    

End date

% % %    

11/3/08

49 40 11    

11/2/08

49 39 12    

11/1/08

48 39 13    

10/31/08

50 39 11    

10/30/08

48 39 13    

10/29/08

47 38 15    

10/28/08

48 38 14    

10/27/08

48 36 16    

10/26/08

47 36 17    

10/25/08

48 34 18    

10/24/08

47 34 19    

10/23/08

49 35 16    

10/22/08

48 35 17    

10/21/08

49 34 17    

10/20/08

49 35 16    

10/19/08

48 35 17    

10/18/08

50 35 15    

10/17/08

50 36 14    

10/16/08

49 36 15    

10/15/08

49 35 16    

10/14/08

50 35 15    

10/13/08

49 35 16    

10/12/08

48 35 17    

10/11/08

48 34 18    

10/10/08

47 33 20    

10/9/08

48 33 19    

10/8/08

49 34 17    

10/7/08

48 34 16    

10/6/08

49 34 17    

10/5/08

48 34 18    

10/4/08

48 35 17    

10/3/08

46 36 18    

10/2/08

47 37 16    

10/1/08

46 37 17    

9/30/08

45 37 18    

9/29/08

46 37 17    

9/28/08

49 37 14    

9/27/08

49 38 11    

9/26/08

49 39 10    

9/25/08

49 40 11    

9/24/08

50 41 9    

9/23/08

49 43 8    

9/22/08

49 42 9    

9/21/08

48 42 10    

9/20/08

48 41 11    

9/19/08

48 40 12    

9/18/08

49 40 11    

9/17/08

49 39 12    

9/16/08

48 39 13    

9/15/08

48 40 12    

9/14/08

48 41 11    

9/13/08

47 41 12    

9/12/08

46 40 14    

9/11/08

47 41 12    

9/10/08

47 40 13    

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Neil Newhouse (R). Nov. 1-2, 2008. N=1,011 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1. LV = likely voters. Among registered voters, except where noted.

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"What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?"

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Democrats Republicans Unsure    
% % %    

11/1-2/08 LV

48 36 16    

10/17-20/08

49 38 13    

10/4-5/08

49 36 15    

9/19-22/08

50 37 13    

8/15-18/08

47 36 17    

7/18-21/08

49 36 15    

6/6-9/08

52 33 15    

4/25-28/08

49 34 17    

3/7-10/08

49 35 16    

12/14-17/07

48 34 18    

11/1-5/07

46 37 17    

9/7-10/07

47 35 18    

 

Diageo/Hotline Daily Tracker Poll conducted by FD. Three-day rolling average. N=approx. 900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.3.

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"Now thinking about the next elections for U.S. Congress, if the elections for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?" Options rotated

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Democratic Republican Neither (vol.) Unsure  

End date

% % % %  

11/2/08

44 39      

11/1/08

45 38      

10/31/08

45 38      

10/30/08

46 37      

10/29/08

46 38      

10/28/08

47 37      

10/27/08

46 38      

10/26/08

47 37      

10/25/08

45 37      

10/24/08

46 38      

10/23/08

44 37      

10/22/08

43 39      

10/21/08

43 37      

10/20/08

43 37      

10/19/08

42 37      

10/18/08

42 37      

10/17/08

42 39      

10/16/08

43 37      

10/15/08

44 38      

10/14/08

45 35      

10/13/08

45 35      

10/12/08

45 34      

10/11/08

45 33      

10/10/08

44 31      

10/9/08

42 34      

10/8/08

43 36      

10/7/08

43 38      

10/6/08

43 37      

10/5/08

43 36      

10/4/08

43 36      

10/3/08

44 37      

10/2/08

44 36      

10/1/08

45 36      

9/30/08

44 36      

9/29/08

43 36      

9/28/08

44 36      

9/27/08

45 35      

9/26/08

46 34      

9/25/08

46 34      

9/24/08

43 35      

9/23/08

45 34      

9/22/08

44 35      

9/21/08

44 35      

9/20/08

43 37      

9/19/08

41 36      

9/18/08

43 35      

9/17/08

43 36      

9/16/08

43 36      

9/15/08

42 37      

9/14/08

42 36      

9/13/08

44 35      

9/12/08

44 34      

9/11/08

44 35      

9/10/08

43 35      

9/9/08

42 35 8 14  

9/8/08

42 34 7 16  

9/7/08

42 33 7 18  

9/4/08

45 35 6 14  

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Oct. 31-Nov. 2, 2008. Voters nationwide.

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"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" Options rotated

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Democratic
Candidate
Republican
Candidate
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
   
% % %    

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Among likely voters -- expanded model (current voting intention only):
N=2,458, MoE ± 2

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10/31 - 11/2/08 *

54 41 6    

10/10-12/08

51 45 5    

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Among likely voters -- traditional model (current voting intention and past voting behavior):
N=2,472, MoE ± 2

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10/31 - 11/2/08 *

53 41 6    

10/10-12/08

51 45 5    

9/5-7/08