Polls listed chronologically.

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Marist College Poll. Nov. 3, 2008. N=804 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

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"If tomorrow's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?" Results include leaners

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11/3/08

11/2/08

10/29/08

9/28-30/08

9/22-23/08

American Research Group Poll. Nov. 1-3, 2008. N=1,200 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

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"If the general election were being held today between John McCain for president and Sarah Palin for vice president, the Republicans, and Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, for whom would you vote: McCain and Palin or Obama and Biden?" Options rotated

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11/1-3/08

45

53

2

10/25-27/08

45

50

5

10/18-20/08

45

49

6

10/11-13/08

45

50

5

10/4-6/08

45

49

6

9/27-29/08

45

49

6

9/20-22/08

46

48

6

9/13-15/08

48

45

7

9/6-8/08

46

47

7

8/30 - 9/1/08

43

49

8

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Nov. 1-2, 2008. N=971 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3. LV = likely voters. RV = registered voters.

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"If the 2008 presidential election were held today, would you vote for Democrats Barack Obama and Joe Biden, or Republicans John McCain and Sarah Palin?" Options rotated

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11/1-2/08 LV

43

50

2

5

-

10/28-29/08 LV

44

47

2

6

1

10/20-21/08 LV

40

49

2

8

-

10/8-9/08 RV

39

46

3

11

1

9/22-23/08 RV

39

45

2

13

1

9/8-9/08 RV

45

42

2

10

2

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Neil Newhouse (R). Nov. 1-2, 2008. N=1,011 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1. LV = likely voters. RV = registered voters.

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"If the next election for president were held today, with John McCain and Sarah Palin as the Republican candidates, and Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic candidates, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean at this time?" If already voted: "For whom did you vote for president: John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republican candidates, Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democratic candidates, or someone else?"

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11/1-2/08 LV

43

51

1

2

3

10/17-20/08 LV

42

53

1

1

3

10/4-5/08 RV

43

49

1

3

4

9/19-22/08 RV

46

48

1

2

3

9/6-8/08 RV

46

47

2

2

3

CBS News Poll. Oct. 31-Nov. 2, 2008. N=714 effective likely voters nationwide, from a total sample of 1,051 adults. LV = likely voters. RV = registered voters.

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"If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and John McCain for president and Sarah Palin for vice president, the Republicans, would you vote for Barack Obama and Joe Biden or John McCain and Sarah Palin?" If unsure: "Well as of today, do you lean more toward Barack Obama and Joe Biden or more toward John McCain and Sarah Palin?"

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10/31 - 11/2/08 LV

10/30 - 11/1/08 LV

10/28-31/08 LV

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Excludes leaners:

10/25-29/08 LV

10/19-22/08 LV

10/10-13/08 LV

10/3-5/08 LV

9/27-30/08 LV

9/21-24/08 LV

9/12-16/08 LV

9/1-3/08 RV

8/29-31/08 RV

Democracy Corps Poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). Oct. 30-Nov. 2, 2008. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide.

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"If the election for president were held today and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Results include leaners

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VOTE PROJECTION, with undecideds allocated:

10/30 - 11/2/08

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10/30 - 11/2/08

10/21-23/08

10/15-19/08

10/8-12/08

10/1-5/08

9/28-30/08

9/22-24/08

Ipsos/McClatchy Poll. Oct. 30-Nov. 2, 2008. N=760 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.6. LV = likely voters. RV = registered voters.

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"If the election for president were held today and the candidates were Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, John McCain for president and Sarah Palin for vice president, the Republicans, Ralph Nader for president and Matt Gonzalez for vice president, the independents, or Bob Barr for president and Wayne Allyn Root for vice president, the Libertarians, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Do you lean more toward [see below]?" Respondents who had already voted were asked: "For whom did you vote for president?"

.

VOTE PROJECTION, with undecideds allocated:

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10/30 - 11/2/08 LV

46

53

1

0

.

10/30 - 11/2/08 LV

42

50

1

0

7

10/23-27/08 LV

42

48

1

1

8

10/16-20/08 LV

42

50

1

0

7

10/9-13/08 RV

39

48

2

1

10

10/2-6/08 RV

40

47

3

1

9

9/26-29/08 RV

42

46

2

1

9

9/18-22/08 RV

43

44

2

2

9

9/11-15/08 RV

45

45

2

1

7

9/5-9/08 RV

46

45

2

1

6

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"If the election for president were held today and the candidates were Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, or John McCain for president and Sarah Palin for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote?" If neither or unsure: "Do you lean more toward [see below]?"

.

.

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10/30 - 11/2/08 LV

43

51

6

.

10/23-27/08 LV

45

50

5

.

10/9-13/08 RV

42

51

7

.

9/26-29/08 RV

45

48

7

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CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 2008. N=714 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5. LV = likely voters. RV = registered voters.

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"If Barack Obama and Joe Biden were the Democratic Party's candidates and John McCain and Sarah Palin were the Republican Party's candidates, who would you be more likely to vote for: Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, or John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?" Options rotated

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"Now suppose that the presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included Barack Obama as the Democratic Party's candidate, John McCain as the Republican candidate, Bob Barr as the Libertarian party candidate, Cynthia McKinney as the Green Party candidate, and Ralph Nader, who is unaffiliated with a national party, who would you be more likely to vote for?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?" 7/08: ". . . and Ralph Nader as an independent candidate . . . ?"

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey. Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2008. N=2,587 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 2.5.

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"If the presidential election were being held TODAY, would you vote for the Republican ticket of John McCain and Sarah Palin, for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden, for the Libertarian ticket of Bob Barr and Wayne Allyn Root, or for the independent ticket of Ralph Nader and Matt Gonzalez?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to [see below]?" Barr and/or Nader included only for respondents in states where those candidates are on the ballot.

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VOTE PROJECTION, with undecideds allocated:

10/29 - 11/1/08

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10/29 - 11/1/08

10/23-26/08

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Oct. 25-29, 2008. N=1,005 effective likely voters nationwide (from a total sample of 1,439 adults).

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"If the 2008 presidential election were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice-president, the Democrats, John McCain for president and Sarah Palin for vice-president, the Republicans, Bob Barr for president and Wayne Allyn Root for vice-president, the Libertarians, and Ralph Nader for president and Matt Gonzalez for vice president, would you vote for Barack Obama and Joe Biden, John McCain and Sarah Palin, Bob Barr and Wayne Allyn Root, or Ralph Nader and Matt Gonzalez?"

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10/25-29/08