White House 2000: Post-Election Polls
The Long Count See also: Post-election polls
from November | Election 2000 HQ
| Polls listed chronologically. |
|
| The Harris Poll.
Dec. 14-21, 2000. N=1,025 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3 (total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
ALL |
Bush
Voters |
Gore
Voters |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| "If everyone who tried to
vote in Florida had their votes counted for the candidate who they thought they were
voting for -- with no misleading ballots and infallible voting machines -- who do you
think would have won the election, George W. Bush or Al Gore?" |
|
Bush |
40 |
76 |
5 |
|
|
|
Gore |
49 |
11 |
89 |
|
|
|
Not sure/Refused |
11 |
12 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Do you feel that the
whole process of deciding who won in Florida -- including the re-counts, or lack of
re-counts, and the decisions made by the Secretary of State, the legislators, and the
courts -- has been generally fair or unfair?" |
|
Fair |
46 |
77 |
17 |
|
|
|
Unfair |
48 |
16 |
80 |
|
|
|
Not sure/Refused |
7 |
7 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Thinking of the decisions
made by the courts concerning the Florida election, do you believe that the decisions made
by individual judges in Florida mainly reflect the political views of the judges or mainly
reflect their impartial legal judgments?" |
|
Political views |
48 |
|
|
|
|
|
Impartial legal judgments |
41 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not sure/Refused |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Thinking of the decisions
made by the courts concerning the Florida election, do you believe that the decisions made
by individual judges in the Supreme Court mainly reflect the political views of the judges
or mainly reflect their impartial legal judgments?" |
|
Political views |
41 |
|
|
|
|
|
Impartial legal judgments |
48 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not sure/Refused |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Do you agree or disagree
with each of the following statements? At the end of the day, in spite of all the problems
casting and counting the votes, the system worked." |
|
Agree |
50 |
80 |
24 |
|
|
|
Disagree |
46 |
18 |
72 |
|
|
|
Not sure/Refused |
4 |
2 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Do you agree or disagree
with each of the following statements? We clearly have a major problem in the way votes
are cast and counted and this needs to be fixed." |
|
Agree |
86 |
|
|
|
|
|
Disagree |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not sure/Refused |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| CBS News Poll.
Dec. 14-16, 2000. N=1,048 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3 (total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
ALL |
Gore
Voters |
Bush
Voters |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| "In general, are you
satisfied or dissatisfied with the outcome of the election?" |
|
Satisfied |
50 |
9 |
93 |
|
|
|
Dissatisfied |
45 |
89 |
6 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
5 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Would you say George W.
Bush legitimately won the election, or not?" |
|
Legitimately won |
53 |
11 |
92 |
|
|
|
Did not |
40 |
81 |
3 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
7 |
8 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "How much confidence do
you yourself have in the United States Supreme Court: a great deal, quite a lot, some, or
very little?" |
|
A great deal |
24 |
13 |
43 |
|
|
|
Quite a lot |
22 |
19 |
31 |
|
|
|
Some |
33 |
36 |
22 |
|
|
|
Very little |
18 |
30 |
4 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
3 |
2 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "As you may know, on
Tuesday the United States Supreme Court ruled in George W. Bushs favor, and stopped
the manual recounting of votes in Florida that had been ordered by the Florida Supreme
Court. Do you approve or disapprove of the U.S. Supreme Courts ruling that stopped
the manual recount?" |
|
Approve |
54 |
16 |
95 |
|
|
|
Disapprove |
42 |
80 |
4 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
2 |
4 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Do you think the Supreme
Courts decision was based more on partisan politics, or more on an objective
interpretation of the law?" |
|
Partisan politics |
37 |
65 |
10 |
|
|
|
Objective interpretation |
54 |
29 |
84 |
|
|
|
Both (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
Neither (vol.) |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
7 |
5 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "As of now, which
candidate has received more votes in the whole country and is leading in the popular vote:
George W. Bush or Al Gore?" |
|
Bush |
19 |
8 |
21 |
|
|
|
Gore |
71 |
90 |
69 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
10 |
2 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Regardless of what the
current vote total is , who do you think more Florida voters INTENDED to vote for: Al Gore
or George W. Bush?" |
|
Gore |
46 |
83 |
13 |
|
|
|
Bush |
34 |
7 |
59 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
20 |
10 |
28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "In a written opinion in
the U.S. Supreme Court case that ended the election, one of the Supreme Court justices
wrote: We may never know with complete certainty the identity of the winner of this
years presidential election. Do you agree or disagree with the justices
statement?" |
|
Agree |
67 |
89 |
48 |
|
|
|
Disagree |
30 |
11 |
51 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
3 |
0 |
1 |
|
|
|
| Newsweek
Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Dec. 14-15, 2000. N=1,001
adults nationwide. MoE ± 4 for the total sample, ± 5 for Bush supporters and for Gore
supporters. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
ALL |
Bush
Sup-
porters |
Gore
Sup-
porters |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| "This week, by margin
of 5 to 4, the United States Supreme Court reversed the Florida courts' decision and
stopped hand recounts of presidential ballots in Florida. All in all, do you think the
Supreme Court's decision to stop hand recounts in Florida was fair or unfair?" |
|
Fair |
51 |
88 |
19 |
|
|
|
Unfair |
44 |
9 |
78 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
5 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "What role, if any,
do you think politics or partisanship played in the Supreme Court justices' decision? Do
you think politics or partisanship played a major role in their decision, somewhat of a
role, or no role at all?" |
|
Major role |
33 |
13 |
52 |
|
|
|
Somewhat of a role |
32 |
35 |
29 |
|
|
|
No role at all |
29 |
45 |
14 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
6 |
7 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "What role, if any,
do you think politics or partisanship played in decisions by THE FLORIDA STATE COURTS in
this election dispute? Do you think politics or partisanship played a major role in the
state courts' decisions, somewhat of a role, or no role at all?" |
|
Major role |
45 |
38 |
54 |
|
|
|
Somewhat of a role |
36 |
38 |
32 |
|
|
|
No role at all |
14 |
19 |
10 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
5 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Thinking more
broadly about the role that politics or partisanship plays in court decisions around this
country, IN GENERAL, do you think it plays a major role, somewhat of a role, or no role at
all?" |
|
Major role |
35 |
24 |
46 |
|
|
|
Somewhat of a role |
47 |
51 |
42 |
|
|
|
No role at all |
13 |
19 |
8 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
5 |
6 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Has this week's
Supreme Court's decision made you more likely to suspect that U.S. SUPREME COURT JUSTICES
have a partisan bias?" |
|
Yes |
46 |
19 |
72 |
|
|
|
No |
48 |
76 |
22 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
6 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Has this week's
Supreme Court's decision made you more likely to suspect that JUDGES IN GENERAL have a
partisan bias?" |
|
Yes |
46 |
25 |
65 |
|
|
|
No |
50 |
71 |
31 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
4 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Do you think that
Gore's lawyers could have made a stronger case than they did before the Supreme Court for
why hand recounts in Florida should go forward OR that Gore's lawyers did about as well as
could be expected under the circumstances?" |
|
Could have made stronger case |
18 |
9 |
27 |
|
|
|
Did about as well as could be
expected |
76 |
86 |
67 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
6 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Thinking more
broadly about the Gore team's legal efforts in the Florida dispute: Do you think they made
a serious mistake in not seeking a statewide hand recount sooner -- OR that this didn't
have much effect on their chances of success in the courts?" |
|
Made a serious mistake |
45 |
34 |
57 |
|
|
|
This didn't have much effect |
47 |
59 |
36 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
8 |
7 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Do you think the
Gore team made a serious mistake in conceding that December 12th was a hard deadline for
resolving the Florida election dispute -- OR that this didn't have much effect on their
chances of success in the courts?" |
|
Made a serious mistake |
27 |
18 |
38 |
|
|
|
This didn't have much effect |
64 |
73 |
53 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
9 |
9 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Suppose that, in the
near future, a hand recount of disputed Florida ballots by the news media finds that Al
Gore actually won the state's popular vote. Do you think this would SERIOUSLY hurt George
W. Bush's ability to be an effective national leader, or not?" |
|
Would seriously hurt |
37 |
|
|
|
|
|
Would not |
58 |
|
|
|
|
|
Don't know |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Will you consider
Bush to be a legitimate president, or not?" |
|
Yes, legitimate |
68 |
97 |
40 |
|
|
|
No, not legitimate |
29 |
2 |
56 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
3 |
1 |
4 |
|
|
|
| ABC News/Washington
Post Poll. Latest: Dec. 14, 2000. N=603 adults nationwide. MoE ± 4.
Field work by TNS Intersearch. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "As you may know, the
United States Supreme Court on Tuesday rejected a recount in the presidential election in
Florida and said it was too late for a new recount. The ruling means George W. Bush wins
the election and the presidency. Al Gore conceded on Wednesday night. Do you approve or
disapprove of Gore's decision to concede the presidential race to Bush?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Approve |
73 |
|
|
|
|
|
Disapprove |
26 |
|
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "From what you've heard or
read about it, do you approve or disapprove of the U.S. Supreme Court's decision rejecting
the recount in Florida?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Approve |
50 |
|
|
|
|
|
Disapprove |
47 |
|
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "As a result of this
ruling, do you have a higher opinion of the U.S. Supreme Court, a lower opinion, or hasn't
your opinion of the U.S. Supreme Court changed?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Higher opinion |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
Lower opinion |
29 |
|
|
|
|
|
No change |
59 |
|
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Do you think the majority
in the U.S. Supreme Court that ruled in Bush's favor did so mainly on the law and evidence
in the case, or mainly because it wanted to help Bush become president?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mainly on law and evidence |
60 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mainly to help Bush |
35 |
|
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "What about the minority
in the U.S. Supreme Court that ruled in Gore's favor? Do you think it did so mainly on the
law and evidence in the case, or mainly because it wanted to help Gore become
president?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mainly on law and evidence |
61 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mainly to help Gore |
29 |
|
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Do you think this
situation reveals serious problems in this country's system of electing the president, or
do you think it's just the kind of thing that can happen in a very close election?" |
|
|
12/14 |
12/10 |
12/3 |
11/12 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Serious problems in system |
55 |
49 |
43 |
32 |
|
|
Kind of thing that can happen |
44 |
50 |
54 |
65 |
|
|
No opinion |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Which comes closest to
describing the way you feel about the outcome of this election: enthusiastic; satisfied
but not enthusiastic; dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Enthusiastic |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Satisfied but not enthusiastic |
36 |
|
|
|
|
|
Dissatisfied but not angry |
37 |
|
|
|
|
|
Angry |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Who did you personally
want to become the next president: [rotate] Al Gore or George W. Bush?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Gore |
46 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bush |
41 |
|
|
|
|
|
Neither (vol.) |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Reuters/NBC
News/Zogby survey. Dec. 13, 2000. N=521 likely voters nationwide who voted Nov.
7, 2000. MoE ± 4.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Do you believe the U.S.
Supreme Court has ruled in the best interests of the nation, or do you believe the ruling
reveals the personal political interests of the justices?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Best interests of nation |
48 |
|
|
|
|
|
Personal political interests |
43 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Do you feel that the
Supreme Court has maintained an objective balance or has it become too political?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Objective balance |
43 |
|
|
|
|
|
Too political |
48 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Do you have confidence in
the U.S. election system, or have the events of the past month seriously shaken your
confidence?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Have confidence |
48 |
|
|
|
|
|
Confidence shaken |
48 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Do you strongly agree,
somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree that all the votes cast in Florida
were fairly counted?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Strongly agree |
27 |
|
|
|
|
|
Somewhat agree |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Somewhat disagree |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Strongly disagree |
44 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "In your opinion, do you
strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree that
President-elect Bush will be able to govern effectively?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Strongly agree |
36 |
|
|
|
|
|
Somewhat agree |
26 |
|
|
|
|
|
Somewhat disagree |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Strongly disagree |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "If you define legitimacy
as the will of the people, do you consider a George W. Bush presidency legitimate or not
legitimate?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Legitimate |
59 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not legitimate |
37 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Do you strongly agree,
somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree that George W. Bush will be a
strong and capable president?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Strongly agree |
38 |
|
|
|
|
|
Somewhat agree |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
Somewhat disagree |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Strongly disagree |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Do you have confidence or
no confidence in Bush to look after the foreign and security interests of the United
States and be able to handle foreign crises?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Confidence |
66 |
|
|
|
|
|
No confidence |
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Do you have confidence or
no confidence in Bush to tackle the economic challenges facing the nation and preserve the
prosperity?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Confidence |
57 |
|
|
|
|
|
No confidence |
36 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Given that the results
are so close, please tell me which one of these two statements, A or B, comes closer to
your point of view. Statement A: The country will be able to unite behind George W. Bush,
who will be able to accomplish a lot in the next four years. Statement B: The country will
remain divided, and it will be hard for George W. Bush to accomplish a lot over the next
four years." |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
A. The country will be able to
unite |
46 |
|
|
|
|
B. The country will remain divided |
50 |
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| CNN/USA
Today/Gallup Poll. Dec. 13, 2000. N=633 adults nationwide (MoE ± 4),
including 302 who said they would vote for Gore if the election were today (MoE ± 6), and
278 who said they would vote for Bush if the election were today (MoE ± 6). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
ALL |
Gore
"Voters" |
Bush
"Voters" |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| "As you may know, the
U.S. Supreme Court reached a decision last night which effectively ended the vote recount
in Florida, meaning that George W. Bush will be the next president. Do you agree or
disagree with the U.S. Supreme Courts decision?" |
|
Agree |
52 |
13 |
93 |
|
|
|
Disagree |
42 |
81 |
4 |
|
|
|
No opinion |
6 |
6 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Do you think the
U.S. Supreme Court was fair or unfair in deciding this case?" |
|
Fair |
54 |
17 |
94 |
|
|
|
Unfair |
38 |
74 |
4 |
|
|
|
Depends (vol.) |
1 |
2 |
- |
|
|
|
No opinion |
7 |
8 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Do you think the
Justices of the U.S. Supreme Court who voted to end the recount in Florida did so
[rotate] mostly based on the legal merits of the case OR mostly based on their own
desire to have Bush as the next president?" |
|
Merits of the case |
54 |
22 |
87 |
|
|
|
Desire to have Bush |
35 |
65 |
6 |
|
|
|
Both/Neither (vol.) |
3 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
No opinion |
8 |
10 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Does this decision
make you lose confidence in the U.S. Supreme Court, or does it not have an effect on your
view of the Court?" |
|
Lose confidence |
30 |
54 |
5 |
|
|
|
Does not have effect |
66 |
39 |
93 |
|
|
|
No opinion |
4 |
7 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Which of the
following best describes your feelings about the fact that George W. Bush will be the next
president: [rotate] thrilled, pleased, disappointed, or angry?" |
|
Thrilled |
15 |
0 |
33 |
|
|
|
Pleased |
33 |
9 |
63 |
|
|
|
Disappointed |
34 |
66 |
1 |
|
|
|
Angry |
11 |
22 |
- |
|
|
|
No opinion |
7 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "If George W. Bush is
declared the winner and is inaugurated next January, would you accept him as the
legitimate president, or not?" |
|
Yes |
80 |
61 |
99 |
|
|
|
No |
18 |
36 |
1 |
|
|
|
No opinion |
2 |
3 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Finally, if the
election for president were being held today, who would you vote for: [rotate]
Al Gore or George W. Bush?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Gore |
47 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bush |
44 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| ABC News/Washington
Post Poll. Latest: Dec. 10, 2000. N=605 adults nationwide. MoE ± 4.
Field work by TNS Intersearch. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "Please tell me
whether you approve or disapprove of the way [see below] is handling the
election situation." |
|
|
Approve |
Disap-
prove |
No
Opinion |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
The Bush campaign |
50 |
47 |
4 |
|
|
|
The Gore campaign |
34 |
63 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "On Friday, the
Florida State Supreme Court ordered a hand recount there of ballots for which voting
machines did not register a vote for president. Yesterday, the United States Supreme Court
halted the recount and said it will hear the case tomorrow. Do you think [rotate]
the hand recount ordered by the Florida State Supreme Court should have been allowed to
continue until it was completed, OR do you think the United States Supreme Court was right
to stop the recount?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
Hand recount should have continued |
51 |
|
|
|
|
Court was right to stop the
recount |
48 |
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "After it hears the case
tomorrow, do you think the U.S. Supreme Court should or should not allow the hand recount
to go forward? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Allow -- strongly |
44 |
|
|
|
|
|
Allow -- somewhat |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not allow -- somewhat |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not allow -- strongly |
38 |
|
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
| "How confident are you
that the U.S. Supreme Court's ruling in this case will be fair to both sides: very
confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not confident at all?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Very confident |
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
Somewhat confident |
36 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not too confident |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not confident at all |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
Asked of those who did NOT answer
"Very confident" above:
"Which side do you think the Supreme Court may treat unfairly?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Bush |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Gore |
43 |
|
|
|
|
|
Both |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Neither |
20 |
|